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Interest-Bearing Stablecoins Are Exploding in Popularity: The End of USDT and USDC?

Key Points:

  • Interest-bearing stablecoins now represent over 6% of the stablecoin market
  • JPMorgan analysts predict they could capture up to 50% of the market if regulatory hurdles are overcome
  • Tether and Circle earned $13B and $1.7B respectively in 2024 from reserve interest
  • The U.S. is pushing regulatory restrictions through the Genius Act
  • Companies like Figure Markets and BlackRock are developing compliant alternatives

The Rise of Yield-Generating Digital Dollars

The cryptocurrency landscape is experiencing a significant shift as a new generation of stablecoins gains traction with a compelling value proposition: paying interest directly to holders. Unlike traditional stablecoins such as Tether (USDT) and USD Coin (USDC), which primarily function as tools for moving tokenized dollars across blockchains, these new assets share a portion of the interest generated by their backing reserves with users.

This evolution transforms stablecoins from mere payment instruments into hybrid products that serve as both a medium of exchange and a low-risk investment vehicle. The concept has quickly captured market attention, with interest-bearing stablecoins already representing more than 6% of the total stablecoin market capitalization.

Market Growth and Key Players

Leading this transformation is Spark Protocol’s USDS, which has demonstrated remarkable growth of over 60% in just the past three months, reaching a market value exceeding $8 billion. If current adoption rates continue, JPMorgan analysts project that interest-paying stablecoins could potentially capture up to half of the entire stablecoin market, contingent on navigating the emerging regulatory challenges.

Other significant players in this space include Figure Markets, which has developed innovative approaches to deliver yield while working within regulatory frameworks. Meanwhile, BlackRock has entered the space with its tokenized money market fund, BUIDL, which now manages over $2.8 billion in assets and serves as a reserve for various yield-bearing digital currencies.

The Profitable Business Model Under Threat

The traditional stablecoin business has been extraordinarily profitable for incumbent issuers. In 2024 alone:

  • Tether generated approximately $13 billion from interest on its U.S. Treasury reserves
  • Circle reported revenues of $1.7 billion

However, this lucrative business model faces unprecedented challenges as alternatives emerge that share these profits with users rather than retaining them entirely for issuers. The fundamental question being raised is why users should hold non-interest-bearing assets when viable alternatives exist that offer immediate returns without significantly increased risk.

Regulatory Responses and Resistance

The rapid growth of interest-bearing stablecoins has triggered regulatory responses, particularly in the United States. The Trump administration has shown support for conventional stablecoins while expressing concern about those offering returns. The Senate’s proposed Genius Act specifically aims to prohibit stablecoin issuers from paying interest, ostensibly to protect consumers and minimize risk to the financial system.

Interestingly, Tether—a company that has historically faced regulatory skepticism—now supports these restrictions, aligning with traditional banking interests. According to Tether, interest-bearing products introduce unnecessary complexity and potential vulnerabilities that contradict the reliable, transparent nature that stablecoins should embody.

Strategic Adaptations to Regulatory Challenges

To navigate the evolving regulatory landscape, companies are developing creative solutions:

  1. Figure Markets has created a product structured as a public fixed-income instrument that can distribute interest without violating the regulations currently applied to stablecoins
  2. BlackRock’s BUIDL operates as a tokenized money market fund, effectively bypassing stablecoin-specific regulations while still providing yield to holders
  3. Other providers are exploring offshore operations beyond U.S. jurisdiction, creating a multi-tier global market

The Banking System’s Stake

Some observers suggest that regulatory resistance to interest-bearing stablecoins stems from concerns about traditional banking stability. If these digital assets continue to gain popularity, significant capital could migrate from bank deposits to crypto wallets offering competitive yields without intermediaries.

This disintermediation threatens a fundamental aspect of the current banking business model, potentially explaining why both regulators and established financial institutions appear aligned in their caution toward these innovations.

Future Market Structure

The stablecoin market appears to be evolving toward a segmented structure with three distinct categories:

  1. Interest-free stablecoins regulated within the banking perimeter (like traditional USDT and USDC)
  2. Yield-bearing stablecoins classified and regulated as securities
  3. Offshore digital currencies operating beyond the reach of U.S. legislation

In this emerging landscape, liquidity remains the primary advantage of established players like USDT and USDC, which are deeply integrated across major cryptocurrency exchanges. However, in an environment of elevated interest rates, the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets becomes increasingly difficult to justify for many users.

Conclusion: An Inevitable Transformation

The question is no longer whether interest-bearing stablecoins will establish themselves as a significant market segment, but rather when this will occur and what impact it will have on the structure of the digital financial ecosystem. While regulatory constraints may slow their growth in certain jurisdictions, the fundamental value proposition appears too compelling to ignore.

As the ground continues to shift beneath the stablecoin market, both users and investors should monitor these developments closely. The outcome of this transformation could significantly impact not only the cryptocurrency space but potentially the broader financial system as well.

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