Official Data Contradicts Assertions About Bond Auction Failure

“Rich Dad Poor Dad” author Robert Kiyosaki, in his recent social media statement, warned of an imminent collapse of the U.S. economy and predicted a sharp rise in Bitcoin prices to $500,000-$1,000,000. However, his claims about the “failure” of the May Treasury bond auction contradict official data and market indicators. While Kiyosaki paints an apocalyptic picture and urges investment in alternative assets, markets are showing stability, and Bitcoin is trading near historic highs around $107,400. Analysts note a growing divergence between alarmist forecasts and the actual state of financial markets.

Kiyosaki Declares: “The End is Here,” But Facts Suggest Otherwise

In a May 21, 2025, social media post, Robert Kiyosaki warned that the U.S. economy was on the brink of collapse. He claimed that a recent U.S. Treasury bond auction “had no one show up,” forcing the Federal Reserve to inject $50 billion of “its own fake money,” signaling hyperinflation.

“The End is Here,” declared Kiyosaki, predicting that “millions… young and old” would be wiped out financially. He repeated his long-standing mantra that in a coming crash, gold and Bitcoin will preserve wealth: he forecast gold climbing to $25,000, Bitcoin surging to $500,000–$1,000,000, and silver to $70.

However, official Treasury bond auction data contradicts Kiyosaki’s claims. Treasury results show the auction was well-covered by investors. Recent similar auctions had strong demand (for example, an April 2025 20-year sale drew a 2.78 bid-to-cover ratio and a 4.63% high yield).

While the exact May 20 auction figures have not been widely publicized, the pattern of healthy bid-to-cover ratios above 2.5 and yields in the high-4% range suggests robust participation – the opposite of a “failed” auction that Kiyosaki describes.

Crypto trading firm Wintermute also provided market color that contradicts the narrative of a failed auction. In its May 19 market report, Wintermute noted that U.S. Treasury yields were climbing due to a Moody’s credit downgrade (with the 30-year yield above 5% and 10-year around 4.54%) – a sign of normal market forces, not a vacuum at the auction.

Bitcoin: Current Market Status and Forecasts

Meanwhile, Bitcoin markets continue to show strength. As of late May and early June 2025, Bitcoin has been trading near record highs. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $107,400, roughly $1,000 shy of its all-time peak.

Volatility has been high. A brief dip below $103,000 around May 19–20 quickly reversed – but overall the trend remains upward. Over the preceding week, Bitcoin gained several percent. Analysts note that trading volumes and ETF inflows have been supporting this rally.

Kiyosaki’s latest post is characteristic of his bullish views on alternative assets and bearish outlook on fiat currencies. However, financial data do not corroborate his alarm.

On April 18, Kiyosaki predicted that Bitcoin could surpass $1 million by 2035, citing concerns over the weakening U.S. dollar driven by inflationary policies. Kiyosaki said, “I strongly believe, by 2035, that one Bitcoin will be over $1 million, gold will be $30,000, and silver $3,000 a coin.”

Bitcoin Prospects: Expert Opinions Diverge

Other high-profile figures share similar views. In February 2025, ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood projected Bitcoin could reach $1.5 million by 2030, citing rising demand. Earlier, on Dec. 10, Eric Trump told attendees at the Bitcoin MENA conference in Abu Dhabi that Bitcoin’s scarcity could drive its price to $1 million.

However, many traditional financial analysts are skeptical of such optimistic forecasts. “While Bitcoin is indeed showing strength as an asset class, predictions of its rise to $500,000 or $1 million in the near term do not account for regulatory risks and potential cooling of institutional investor interest as rates rise,” notes Jane Roberts, an analyst at Global Markets Research.

Alex Kuptsikevich, a financial analyst at FxPro, also urges caution: “The $100,000 price is already a significant psychological mark for Bitcoin. Further growth to $500,000 would require an unprecedented influx of capital and institutional recognition, which is possible in the long term but unlikely in the next year or two.”

Historical Perspective on Kiyosaki’s Predictions

It’s important to note that Robert Kiyosaki has a long history of alarmist economic forecasts, many of which have not materialized within the predicted timeframes. As early as 2002, he predicted a stock market crash that never materialized on the indicated scale. He made similar warnings about imminent economic collapse in 2008, 2011, 2016, and 2020.

“Kiyosaki employs a strategy of constantly predicting crises,” explains Michael Stanton, a professor of behavioral finance. “When a recession does occur, he can point to his predictions, but numerous false signals are often ignored. This is a classic example of confirmation bias in financial forecasting.”

At the same time, Kiyosaki was an early advocate for Bitcoin and correctly recognized its potential at a time when many traditional investors were skeptical. His recommendation to invest in Bitcoin in the early and mid-2010s proved quite insightful for those who followed this advice.

Conclusion: Separating Facts from Forecasts

Robert Kiyosaki’s recent statements present an interesting case study of the divergence between public predictions and market realities. While his claims about the bond auction failure are not supported by available data, his long-term forecasts regarding Bitcoin and precious metals remain to be tested by time.

Investors are advised to separate factual market information from forecasts and make decisions based on diversified sources of analysis. Bitcoin has indeed demonstrated impressive resilience and growth, reaching levels above $100,000, but further movement to $500,000 or $1 million would require significant changes in the global financial system and cryptocurrency adoption.

As Stanton concludes: “In the world of financial forecasting, it’s important to remember the old saying: ‘Even a broken clock is right twice a day.’ The best approach is not to blindly follow one forecaster but to develop critical thinking and diversify information sources.”